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Abstract. A model of civil violence has recently been built and
studied by Joshua Epstein at the Center on Social and
Economic Dynamics in the USA using a remarkably simple cellular
automata (CA) simulation. However, the model and its analysis were
based on the assumption that the entities have purely random
movement, which limits the degree of realism of the model.
The Australian Defence Science and Technology Organisation (DSTO) has access
to a more sophisticated cellular automata simulation known as MANA,
developed by the Defence Technology Agency in NZ. Recently, DSTO
has developed a similar civil violence model to incorporate various
movement strategies of the entities by using the MANA simulation.
This paper describes the model and the analysis of the
data, which included graphical, statistical and game theory techniques, and
which provide some initial thoughts on the effectiveness of various
strategies for managing civil violence. These results may also have
applicability in other Operations Other Than War (OOTW) scenarios, including
peace keeping and counter-terrorism. Finally, based on the analysis, two
extensions to the MANA model are suggested.
Related topics:
operations other than war, system dynamics, homeland security, terrorism, training and analysis
View first page of "Yiu: Using Agent Based Distillations To Model Civil Violence Management"
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